Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.
|Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19||22.4%||65.6%|
|Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19||23.0%||64.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19||16.6%||71.4%|
|Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19||17.2%||71.4%|
|Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19||20.0%||69.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 5/14/19||22.0%||66.2%|
|Real Clear Pol. 4/2/19||22.8%||66.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 3/26/19||20.8%||68.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 2/26/19||19.4%||70.0%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19||19.6%||69.3%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18||15.8%||72.6%|
Three recent surveys show Democrats leading Republicans in a generic congressional ballot.
|Politico/Morning Consult 11/24/19||45%||36%|
[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]
As of December 6, 2019, 31 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – 9 Democrats and 22 Republicans.
The House of Representatives
- Democrats 235
- Republicans 198
- Independents 1
- Vacancies 1
|Safe in 2020||182||161|
[WW uses Jennifer E. Duffy of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]
In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that the Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election.
There is one change in the chart below since the last edition of the Watch. Collins has moved from Toss Up to Lean Republican.
- Republicans 53
- Democrats 45
- Independents 2
|Seats not up in 2020||33||30||2|
|Safe in 2020|| 7