Congress

Approval of the Congress is up roughly 4.6 points from where it was a year ago and disapproval is down 2.5 points.

  Approve Disapprove
Real Clear Pol. 5/16/23 27.0% 65.5%
Real Clear Pol. 3/28/23 26.4% 65.2%
Real Clear Pol. 2/14/22 24.4% 65.4%
Real Clear Pol. 12/19/22 27.6% 62.4%
Real Clear Pol. 11/23/22 23.8% 62.8%
Real Clear Pol. 10/13/22 25.3% 65.8%
Real Clear Pol. 8/30/22 20.6% 67.4%
Real Clear Pol. 8/2/22 19.6% 71.0%
Real Clear Pol. 6/15/22 21.2% 69.0%
Real Clear Pol. 5/17/22 22.4% 68.0%
Real Clear Pol. 4/16/22 22.2% 67.5%
Real Clear Pol. 3/15/22 21.8% 67.8%
Real Clear Pol. 2/18/22 20.8% 68.3%
Real Clear Pol. 1/17/22 22.4% 66.4%

The House of Representatives

Washington Watch uses the report by David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report for its report on elections in the U.S. House of Representatives. (One seat is open.)

Solid Republican 192 Solid Democrat 173
Likely GOP 11 Likely Dem 17
Lean GOP 8 Lean Dem 12
GOP Tossup 10 Dem Tossup 12
Total 221 Total 214

The Senate

  • Republicans – 49
  • Democrats – 48
  • Independents – 3

The 2024 Senate Election

Democrats Republicans Independents
Seats not up in 2024 28 39 0
Seats up in 2024 23 9  
Safe in 2024 CA-Open IN-Open
Murphy Hawley
Carper Wicker
Hirono Cramer
Warren Fischer
MD-Open Ricketts
King (I) Blackburn
Klobuchar Romney
Menendez Barrasso
Heinrich  
Gillibrand  
Whitehouse
Kaine
Sanders (I)
  Cantwell  
Likely 0 2
Scott (SC)
    Cruz
Lean 5
MI-Open
Tester
Rosen
Casey
Baldwin
Toss Up 3
Sinema (I)
OH – B
Manchin

Manchin is trailing Gov. Jim Justice by 43% to 29%. Sinema is consistently polling in third place in early public polling in 3-way matchups against leading Republicans and Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ). [Axios Sneak Peak 5/7/23]