President Trump

As of May 26, an Economist/YouGov poll found that 45% of registered voters approved of the job that President Trump is doing as president while 53% disapprove. 40% of women approve of the job he is doing along with 50% of men, while 53% of women disapprove along with 46% of men.

The split between folks who see themselves as supporters of one party or the other could not be more clear. 86% of Republicans approve of the job he is doing while 14% disapprove. And, no surprise, 86% of Democrats disapprove of his performance while only 11% approve.

Among Independents, 41% approve of his performance and 47% disapprove.

An interesting dichotomy that this survey demonstrates is the role that age seems to play in levels of support for the president’s performance.

Among those between the ages of 18-29, 32% support the president’s performance while 59% disapprove. In the last six weeks approval by this group has dropped by 11 points and disapproval has grown by 9 points.

Among those 65 and older, 47% approve of his performance and 50% disapprove. In the last six weeks, approval among this group has dropped by 10 points and disapproval has grown by 8 points.

A Politico/Morning Consult survey of registered voters completed on May 26, found 40% approving of how Trump is doing his job and 57% disapproving.

Gallup now does monthly or semi-monthly surveys. WW will include a periodic polling summary–Registered and Likely Voters–by FiveThirtyEight.

  Gallup (all adults) FiveThirtyEight (Registered / Likely voters)
Date Approval Dis-approval Approval Dis-approval
5/13/20 49% 48% 43.6% 51.9%
4/14/20 45% 54% 44.4% 51.4%
3/22/20 49% 45% 43.2% 52.1%
2/16/20 49% 48% 43.4% 52.2%
1/29/20 49% 50% 43% 52.6%
1/15/20 44% 53% 42.4% 53.0%
12/15/19 45% 51% 44.1% 52.8%
11/14/19 43% 54% 41% 54.7%
10/31/19 41% 57% 42% 53.9%
9/30/19 40% 56% 42.1% 53.8%
8/30/19 39% 57% 41.3% 54.2%
6/16/19 43% 55% 42.6% 53.0%
1/27/19 37% 59% 40.4% 55.6%
9/30/18 42% 53% 41.5% 52.7%
1/14/18 38% 57%

The following are some additional looks at the President’s job performance. The numbers below are of Registered Voters unless followed by an “A” which means “all voters” or “L” which means “likely voters”.

Date NBC / WSJ WP / ABC CNN FOX QUINNIPIAC
MAY ’20 xx 45/53 46/51 44/54 42/53
APR ’20 46/51 xx 44/53 49/49 45/51
MAR ’20 46/51 49/47 45/52 48/51 41/54
FEB ’20 47/50 46/42 xx xx 43/53
JAN ’20 46/51 47/50 45/51 45/54 43/52
DEC ’19 44/54A xx 44/52 45/53 43/52
JUL ’19 45/52 47/50 xx 46/51 40/54
CBS FOX
JAN ’19 43/54A 38/58 37/57A 36/59A 43/54
DEC ’18 43/54A xx 39/52 xx 46/52
JAN ’18 39/57A 38/58 43/53 37/58cbsA 45/53
DEC ’17 41/56 xx 36/59cnn 36/57A xx

The following are presidential job approval numbers from Gallup roughly 42 months into their first term (Johnson is an exception). Since Gallup is no longer providing a steady stream of approval ratings, WW will use various other surveys to provide approval numbers on the current president when timely Gallup numbers are not available.

Johnson 74% (6/64)
Eisenhower 73% (6/56)
Nixon 59% (6/72)
Reagan 55% (6/84)
Clinton 58% (6/96)
GW Bush 49% (6/04)
Ford 45% (6/76)
Obama 47% (6/12)
Trump 45% (6/20 – RCP Average)
GHW Bush 37% (4/92)
Carter 32% (4/80)

On economic policy, Trump’s approval ratings continue to be on an upward track.

  Approve Disapprove  
5/28/20 52% 44% WP/ABC (Adults)
5/26/20 52% 44% Econ/YouGov RV
4/14/20 51% 44% Econ/YouGov (RV)
2/17/20 53% 38% NBC/WSJ (RV)
1/12/20 57% 38% Quinnipiac
12/3/19 52% 42% Econ/YouGov(RV)
10/22/19 49% 45% Econ/YouGov(RV)
9/9/19 48% 48% CNN (RV)
7/23/19 52% 41% Fox News (RV)
1/1/19 47% 46% Econ/YouGov (RV)
1/16/18 46% 49% NBC/WSJ

On foreign policy, Trump’s approval ratings remain in negative territory.

  Approve Disapprove  
5/26/20 45% 53% Econ/YouGov (RV)
4/5/20 42% 46% Pol/MornConsult (RV)
2/18/20 42% 46% Econ/YouGov(RV)
1/12/20 43% 53% Quinnipiac
12/3/19 45% 49% Econ/YouGov(RV)
10/22/19 42% 51% Econ/YouGov(RV)
9/9/19 40% 50% CNN (RV)
7/30/19 41% 51% Economist (RV)
1/1/19 42% 51% Econ/YouGov (RV)
7/18/18 38% 45% NBC/WSJ
1/16/18 36% 60% NBC/WSJ

43% of Americans approve while 55% disapprove of the way the President has responded to the coronavirus pandemic.

This rating is in juxtaposition with the following individuals and institutions.

Approve Disapprove
Dr. Anthony Fauci, NIH 74% 19%
Vice President Pence 47% 44%
State government 70% 27%
Federal government 51% 45%
[Fox News 5/20/20]

As of June 1, 2020, the Washington Post Fact Checker has recorded 19,127 false or misleading claims by Trump.


Judges Nominated and Confirmed to Date

Because the U.S. Senate remains in Republican hands and the filibuster is no more, the President can continue unchecked his goal of remaking the federal judiciary. The chart below reflects the number of Article III court judges appointed by all U.S. presidents since Jimmy Carter. The data below does not include the U.S. Court of International Trade.

  Total Supreme Ct Appeals Ct District Ct
Trump – thru 6/1/20 197 2 51 142
Obama – 8 years 329 2 55 268
GW Bush – 8 years 327 2 62 261
Clinton – 8 years 378 2 66 305
GHW Bush – 4 years 193 2 42 148
Reagan 383 3 83 290
Carter 262 0 56 203

There are currently several nominations awaiting Senate action, 2 Courts of appeals, 40 seats in the District Courts.

There is currently one vacancy on the U.S. Court of Appeals and 70 vacancies on the U.S. District Courts. [USCourts/Wikipedia/List of federal judges appointed by Donald Trump]


Disassembling

President Trump signed an executive order on April 22 temporarily suspending immigration into the United States in response to the economic crisis caused by COVID-19. The proclamation halts the issuance of green cards for 60 days and applies to individuals who, as of its signing, are outside of the United States, do not have an immigrant visa and do not have official travel documents other than visas. The order contains a range of exceptions, including exemptions for health care professionals, immigrants already in the U.S. and those seeking temporary visas.

There was broad support for the executive order.

65% support the substance of the Executive Order
83% of Republicans
67% of Independents
49% of Democrats
67% of Whites
61% of Nonwhites
63% of 18-39-year-olds
[WP/UofMD 4/21-26/20]


The Trump Administration will not impose any limits on perchlorate, a toxic chemical compound that contaminates water and has been linked to fetal and infant brain damage. The decision by Andrew Wheeler, administrator of the EPA, appears to defy a court order that required the agency to establish a safe drinking-water standard for the chemical by the end of June. [NYT 5/14/20]


98 Environmental Rules the Trump Administration is Revoking or rolling back

  Total Completed In Progress
Air pollutions and emissions 27 19 18
Drilling and extraction 19 11 8
Infrastructure and planning 11 10 1
Animals 11 9 2
Water pollution 11 4 7
Toxic substances and safety 8 6 2
Other 11 5 6
All 98 64 34
[NYT 5/10/20]

President Trump has announced that the United States will terminate its relationship with the World Health Organization. The United States has been contributing somewhere between $400 – $500 million dollars per year including required and voluntary contributions. [Statnews.com 5/29/2020]