49% prefer that in the 2020 elections, the election deliver a Congress that is controlled by Democrats while 45% prefer a Congress controlled by Republicans. [NBC/WSJ 1/29/2020]
Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.
|Real Clear Pol. 2/11/20||22.4%||65.6%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/14/29||22.4%||65.2%|
|Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19||22.4%||65.6%|
|Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19||23.0%||64.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19||16.6%||71.4%|
|Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19||17.2%||71.4%|
|Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19||20.0%||69.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19||19.6%||69.3%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18||15.8%||72.6%|
[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]
As of January 31, 2020, 35 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – 9 are Democrats and 26 are Republicans.
The House of Representatives
- Democrats 234
- Republicans 200
- Independents 1
- Vacancies 5
|Safe in 2020||181||162|
[WW uses Jessica Taylor of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]
In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election.
The number of people in the “Lean Republican” category have grown from three to five. Other than that, there have been few if any changes since the last issue of the Watch.
- Republicans 53
- Democrats 45
- Independents 2
|Seats not up in 2020||33||30||2|
|Safe in 2020|| 7