Congress

Approval of the Congress is down roughly 12 points from where it was a year ago and disapproval is up 11 points.

Approve Disapprove
Real Clear Pol. 8/2/22 19.6% 71.0%
Real Clear Pol. 6/15/22 21.2% 69.0%
Real Clear Pol. 5/17/22 22.4% 68.0%
Real Clear Pol. 4/16/22 22.2% 67.5%
Real Clear Pol. 3/15/22 21.8% 67.8%
Real Clear Pol. 2/18/22 20.8% 68.3%
Real Clear Pol. 1/17/22 22.4% 66.4%
Real Clear Pol. 12/21/21 23.0% 65.8%
Real Clear Pol. 11/30/21 22.2% 68.6%
Real Clear Pol. 10/12/21 25.0% 65.8%
Real Clear Pol. 9/1/21 28.5% 60.3%
Real Clear Pol. 8/3/21 31.4% 59.6%
Real Clear Pol. 6/15/21 28.8% 60.5%

The House of Representatives

Are there no limits? Apparently not.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has taken to providing financial support to candidates running in Republican primaries who the DCCC thinks will be the weaker in the general election.

One of the most questionable decisions was to support the opponent of Representative Peter Meijer who was one of the 10 Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump.

The DCCC spent more on the race than the other Republican candidate, John Gibbs, a far-right candidate.

Will these actions by the DCCC have a negative impact on its future fundraising? [WW]


Washington Watch uses the Cook Political Report for its report on elections in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Currently:

  • Democrats – 220 seats
  • Republicans – 211 seats
  • Vacancies – 4 seats

As of 8/3/22, there are currently 61 seats in which House incumbents have announced they are not running for re-election. 25 of those seats are currently held by Republicans and 36 by Democrats.

Democrat Republican
Solid Democrat 162 Solid Republican 191
Likely Dem 13 Likely GOP 13
Lean Dem 12 Lean GOP 11
Dem Toss up 26 GOP Toss up 7
Total 213 Total 222

The Senate

Among the 10 most popular Senators, 7 are Republicans, 1 is a Democrat, and 2 are Independents. Among the 10 most unpopular Senators, 8 are Republicans and 2 are Democrats.

10 Most Popular Senators

Approve Don’t Know Disapprove
John Barrasso (R-WY) 70% 7% 23%
Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) 63 12 25
Mike Rounds (R-SD) 60 8 32
John Thune (R-SD) 60 6 33
John Hoeven (R-ND) 57 10 32
Patrick Leahy (D-VT) 56 13 31
Bernard Sanders (I-VT) 56 10 34
Angus King (I-ME) 56 10 34
John Kennedy (R-LA) 54 17 29
Shelley M. Capito (R-WV) 54 17 29

10 Most Unpopular Senators

Approve Disapprove Don’t Know
Mitch McConnell (R-KY) 31% 7% 62%
Ron Johnson (R-WI) 37 10 53
Susan Collins (R-ME) 43 6 51
Ben Sasse (R-NE) 39 14 48
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) 43 10 47
Patrick Toomey (R-UT) 35 20 45
Mitt Romney (R-UT) 43 11 45
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 45 10 44
Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) 41 16 43
Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) 41 16 43

[Morning Consult]

WW uses Jessica Taylor of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.

  • Republicans – 50
  • Democrats – 48
  • Independents – 2

Six U.S. Senators are retiring from public office; 1 Democrat and 5 Republicans. None are running for other office.

Democrats Republicans Independent
Seats not up in 2022 34 30 2
Safe in 2022 9 14  
  Padilla Murkowski  
  Murray AL – open  
  Blumenthal Boozman  
  Schatz Grassley  
  Duckworth Crapo  
  Van Hollen Young  
  Schumer Moran  
  Wyden Paul  
  VT – open Kennedy  
  Hoeven  
    OK – open  
    MO – open  
    Scott  
    Thune  
    Lee  
Likely 1 2  
  Bennet Rubio  
    OH – open  
     
Lean 1 1  
  Hassan NC – open  
       
Toss Up 3 2  
  Cortez Masto Johnson  
Warnock PA – open
Kelly