The 59th presidential election will take place on November 3, 2020. 18 days from today.
61% of American voters plan to vote before election day. This includes 70% of Democrats, 48% of Republicans, and 65% of Independents. In 2016, 40% of voters voted before election day.
Nearly half of registered American voters plan to vote by mail (32%) or by dropping off (17%) their ballot.
The 51% of voters who plan to vote in person at a polling place, include 39% of Democrats, 71% of Republicans and 47% of Independents. [8/21 WP/Univ. of Maryland poll]
NBCnews.com/planyourvote, is a good source for voter/voting information in the coming election.
Ranked Choice Voting
The Maine Supreme Judicial Court has ruled unanimously that Ranked-choice voting will be used in the November 2020 presidential election. [9/22/20]
The General Election
A decade high 85% of state legislative incumbents are seeking re-election this year. 79.6% of incumbents advanced to the general election without a primary challenge. 35% of state legislative races in 2020 have candidates from only one of the two major parties. [ Balletopedia 9/2/20]
At least 367 elections this fall are rematches between the same candidates who ran for the office in 2018. Rematches in 2020 include:
- 24 elections for the U.S. House won by Democrats and 10 by Republicans in 2018
- 1 state executive election
- 339 state legislative elections
- 3 local races
Republicans won 205 (56%) of the 2018 elections that are now rematches while Democrats won 160 (44%). [Ballotpedia]
52% of Republicans, 43% of Democrats, and 31% of Independents believe it is better to have one party control the presidency and the Congress. [Gallup 10/7/20]
Following are the personal positive/negative feelings toward the candidates for President and Vice-President. There is not much difference between the positive feelings toward Trump and Biden but there is considerable difference between the negative feelings toward them.
Here are comparisons between Trump and Biden on several issues and personal characteristics. Biden leads on all except dealing with the economy.
|Trump better||Biden better|
|Dealing with the economy||48%||41%|
|Dealing with crime and violence||41%||45%|
|Making appointments to the Supreme Court||37%||46%|
|Dealing with the Coronavirus||35%||52%|
|Dealing with health care||34%||53%|
|Dealing with race relations||26%||55%|
|Addressing issues of concern to women||25%||46%|
|Trump better||Biden better|
|Having necessary mental and physical health to be President||40%||41%|
|Having strong leadership qualities||40%||45%|
|Having the right temperament to be President||26%||58%|
93% of Trump supporters are enthusiastic about supporting him with 71% being very enthusiastic. Biden supporters are a bit less enthusiastic in their support of him. 86% are enthusiastic with 52% being very enthusiastic. [ABC/WP 10/9/20]
Current National Presidential Scorecard
|Fox 10/6 LV||42%||52%|
|Economist/YouGov 10/6 LV||43%||51%|
|Hill/HarrisX 10/6 RV||40%||45%|
|CNBC 10/4 LV||43%||51%|
|Survey/USA 10/4 LV||43%||53%|
|CNN 10/4 LV||41%||51%|
As of October 9th, the RCP average is Biden 51.6% – Trump 42.0%.
The upcoming presidential election is not in reality a national election. WW is focused on a list of seven states most likely to be the ultimate battleground states: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
|North Carolina||47%||48.30%||10/6||RCP Avg|
|Wisconsin||44%||49.5 %||10/5||RCP Avg|
2020 Debate Audiences
First Presidential Debate – 73.1 million viewers
(First presidential debate in 2016 – 84 million viewers)
Vice Presidential Debate – 57.9 million viewers
Second Presidential Debate – Cancelled
Third Presidential Debate – October 22, 2020
Belmont University, Nashville, TN
Moderator: Kristen Welker, NBC
What are the odds?
Here are the odds, as of October 11, 2020, if you want to place a bet on the 2020 presidential election.
|Joe Biden||-200||(Bettor needs to bet $200 to win $100. If it is a
winning bet the bettor ends up with $300.)
|Donald Trump||+170||(Bettor needs to bet $100 to win $170. A winning bet ends up with the better