Congress

Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.

  Approve Disapprove
Real Clear Pol. 7/7/20 23.0% 64.0%
Real Clear Pol. 6/23/20 23.7% 64.7%
Real Clear Pol.  5/26/20 28.5% 56.8%
Real Clear Pol. 4/14/20 29.3% 56.8%
Real Clear Pol. 2/11/20 22.4% 65.6%
Real Clear Pol. 1/14/29 22.4% 65.2%
Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19 22.4% 65.6%
Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19 23.0% 64.8%
Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19 16.6% 71.4%
Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19 17.2% 71.4%
Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19 20.0% 69.8%
Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 19.6% 69.3%

As of July 11, the Democrats are leading the generic Congressional ballot: Democrats 49.4% and Republicans 40.4%. [Fivethirtyeight.com]


[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]

When President Trump took office in January 2017, there were 241 Republicans in the House. Since then, 115 (48%) have either retired, resigned, or been defeated or are retiring in 2020. [David Wasserman, Cook Political Report 7/1/20]

As of June 16, 2020, 37 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election ā€“ 10 are Democrats and 27 are Republicans.

The House of Representatives

2020

  • Democrats 233
  • Republicans 197
  • Independents 1
  • Vacancies 4
  Democrats Republicans
Safe in 2020 183 165
Likely 19 14
Lean 18 14
Tossup 16 6

The Senate

[WW uses Jessica Taylor of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]

In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It remains likely that Republicans will retain control of the Senate in this election although chances appear to be improving for the Democrats.

Rep. Doug Collins has a very modest 2-point lead over Senator Kelly Loeffler in the Senate Republican primary in Georgia. Rep. Kennedy appears to have a growing lead over Senator Ed Markey in the Democratic primary.

  • Republicans 53
  • Democrats 45
  • Independents 2
  Democrats Republicans Independent
Seats not up in 2020 33 30 2
Safe in 2020 8
Coons
Durbin
Markey
Warner
Booker
Merkley
Reed
Shaheen
10
Cotton
Risch
Cassidy
Hyde-Smith
Sasse
Inhofe
Rounds
Moore-Capito
Wyoming (Enzi)
Tennessee (Alexander)
 
Likely 2
Smith
NM (Udall)
5
McConnell*
Cornyn*
Sullivan*
Graham*
Purdue*
 
Lean 1
Peters
5
Ernst*
Jones (AL)*
Loeffler*
Kansas (Roberts)*
Daines*
 
Toss Up 0 3
McSally
Gardner
Tillis
Gardner