49% prefer that the 2020 elections deliver a Congress that is controlled by Democrats while 40.8% prefer a Congress controlled by Republicans. [RCP Average 4/14/20]
Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.
|Real Clear Pol. 4/14/20||29.3%||56.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 2/11/20||22.4%||65.6%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/14/29||22.4%||65.2%|
|Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19||22.4%||65.6%|
|Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19||23.0%||64.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19||16.6%||71.4%|
|Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19||17.2%||71.4%|
|Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19||20.0%||69.8%|
|Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19||19.6%||69.3%|
[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]
As of April 10, 2020, 37 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – 10 are Democrats and 27 are Republicans.
The House of Representatives
- Democrats 232
- Republicans 197
- Independents 1
- Vacancies 5
|Safe in 2020||182||164|
[WW uses Jessica Taylor of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]
In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election. But there is a way outside chance.
Here are the changes from the last issue of the Watch.
Shaheen from Likely D to Safe D;
Daines from Safe R to Lean R;
Collins from Lean R to Tossup;
Loeffler from Lean R to Likely R.
However, Loeffler is being challenged in the GOP primary by GOP Congressman Doug Collins. Collins was endorsed by a Pro-Trump Super PAC to replace Johnny Isakson who retired early for health reasons.
- Republicans 53
- Democrats 45
- Independents 2
|Seats not up in 2020||33||30||2|
|Safe in 2020||8