Congress

Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.

  Approve Disapprove
Real Clear Pol. 1/14/29 22.4% 65.2%
Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19 22.4% 65.6%
Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19 23.0% 64.8%
Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19 16.6% 71.4%
Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19 17.2% 71.4%
Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19 20.0% 69.8%
Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 19.6% 69.3%
Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18 15.8% 72.6%

Three recent surveys show Democrats leading Republicans in a generic congressional ballot.

  Democrats Republicans
Economist/YouGov 1/14/20 46% 42%
Politico/Morning Consult 1/12/20 42% 39%
NBC/WSJ 12/17/19 49% 42%

[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]

As of January 3, 2020, 39 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – 10 Democrats and 29 Republicans.

The House of Representatives

2020

  • Democrats 235
  • Republicans 198
  • Independents 1
  • Vacancies 1
  Democrats Republicans
Safe in 2020 181 161
Likely 20 19
Lean 18 12
Tossup 18 5

The Senate

[WW uses Jennifer E. Duffy of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]

In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that the Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election.

  • Republicans 53
  • Democrats 45
  • Independents 2
  Democrats Republicans Independent
Seats not up in 2020 33 30 2
Safe in 2020 7
Coons
Durbin
Markey
Warner
Booker
Merkley
Reed
13
Sullivan
Cotton
Risch
Cassidy
Daines
Sasse
Inhofe
Graham
Rounds
Moore-Capito
Wyoming (Enzi)
Tennessee (Alexander)
Hyde-Smith
 
Likely 3
Smith
Shaheen
NM (Udall)
5
McConnell
Cornyn
Kansas (Roberts)
Purdue
Loeffler
 
Lean 1
Peters
3
Ernst
Jones (AL)
Collins
 
Toss Up 0 3
McSally
Gardner
Tillis