President Trump

On October 7, 2018, CNN found that 41% of Americans approved of Trump’s job performance and 52% disapproved. This represents a 5-point jump in approval since the first week in September.

  Women Men Independents
Approve 31% 51% 39%
Disapprove 62% 43% 50%

On October 14, 2018, Gallup found (among all adults) that 44% of Americans approve of President Trump’s job performance and 51% disapprove.

Gallup is no longer providing a daily approval rating of the president. In the future, these reports will be dated weekly.

I now include a periodic polling summary–Registered and Likely Voters–by FiveThirtyEight.

  Gallup (all adults) FiveThirtyEight (Registered / Likely voters)
Date Approval Disapproval Approval Disapproval
10/14/18 44% 51% 42.1 52.4
10/7/18 43% 53%
9/30/18 42% 53% 41.5% 52.7%
9/23/18 43.8% 52.3%
9/16/18 38% 56%
9/2/18 41% 53%
9/1/18 40.3 54.4
8/26/18 41% 54%
8/1/18 41.4 52.9
7/29/18 40% 55%
7/1/18 42% 53% 41.8% 52.3%
6/1/18 41.6% 52.7%
5/20/18 42% 54%
5/1/18 43.8% 52%
4/8/18 41% 54%
4/1/18 41.4% 53.7%
3/11/18 39% 56%
3/1/18 42.7% 53.2%
2/11/18 40% 57%
2/1/18 42.0% 53.3%
1/14/18 38% 57%
1/1/18 39.5% 55.8%

The following are some additional looks at the President’s job performance. The numbers below are of registered voters unless followed by an “A” which means “all voters” or “L” which means likely voters. (QUPIAC = Quinnipiac)

Date NBC / WSJ WP / ABC CNN / ORC NYT / CBS FOX QUPIAC
OCT ’18 xx 43/53 43/52 xx 47/52L xx
SEP ’18 xx xx 36/58 xx xx 38/54
AUG ’18 44/52 36/60 44/53 xx 45/53 41/54
JULY ’18 45/52 xx xx xx 46/51 40/55
JUNE ’18 44/53 xx xx xx 45/51 44/51
MAY ’18 xx xx 44/51 40/55cbsA xx xx
APR ’18 39/57A 44/54 xx xx 44/53 39/54
MAR ’18 43/53A xx 42/54 38/57cbsA 45/52 40/53
FEB ’18 xx xx 39/56 xx 43/53 37/38
JAN ’18 39/57A 38/58 43/53 37/58cbsA 45/53 36/58
DEC ’17 41/56 xxx 36/59cnn 36/57 cbsA xxx 37/57
JAN ’17 xxx xxx 44/53 40/48 cbs xxx 36/44

The following are job approval numbers from Gallup for the last nine presidents and Trump. As you can see, the only presidents to have worse numbers than Trump at this point in their tenures are Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton and both were re-elected.

GW Bush 62% (10/02)
Eisenhower 61% (10/54)
Kennedy 61% (10/62)
Nixon 58% (10/70)
GHW Bush 53% (10/90)
Carter 49% (10/78)
Obama 45% (10/10)
Trump 44% (10/18)
Regan 42% (10/82)
Clinton 41% (10/94)

On economic policy, Trump’s approval ratings have remained consistently positive since April.

  Approve Disapprove  
10/9/18 51% 42% Econ/YouGov (RV)
10/2/8 47% 43% Reuters/Ipsos (A)
9/9/18 51% 53% CNN
9/4/18 48% 43% Reuters/Ipsos (adults)
8/21/18 49% 44% Fox News
7/18/18 50% 34% NBC/WSJ
6/5/18 49% 46% Quinnipiac
5/6/18 50.3% 44.8% RCP average 4/6-5/6
4/11/18 49% 46% ABC/WP
3/11/18 46% 48% CBS News
2/27/18 49% 44% CBS News
1/16/18 46% 49% CBS News

On foreign policy, Trump’s approval ratings remain in negative territory.

  Approve Disapprove  
10/9/18 45% 48% Econ/YouGov (RV)
10/2/18 39% 49% Reuters/Ipsos (A)
9/9/18 38% 56% CNN
9/4/18 40% 51% Reuters/Ipsos (adults)
8/21/18 37% 55% Fox News
7/23/18 38% 58% Quinnipiac
7/18/18 38% 45% NBC/WSJ
6/5/18 40% 52% Quinnipiac
5/8/18 43.2% 52.6% RCP average 4/20-5/8
5/6/18 45% 49% CNN – Registered Voters
4/9/18 39% 55% Quinnipiac
3/25/18 41% 52% CNN
3/5/18 33% 61% Quinnipiac
2/5/18 37% 57% Quinnipiac
1/16/18 36% 60% Quinnipiac