October 20, 2008 7:54 AM
The Electoral College
A review of the electoral vote over the past 4 Presidential elections provides a basis for the reality that John McCain has a higher hill to climb than Barack Obama.135 electoral votes - Republican won these States in last 4 elections
64 electoral votes - Republican won these States in 3 of last 4 elections
75 electoral votes - Republicans and Democrats each won 2 of last 4 elections
16 electoral votes - Democrat won these states in 3 of last 4 elections
248 electoral votes - Democrats won these states in last 4 elections
Obama is challenging McCain in States with 39 electoral votes out of the 135 which Republicans won in the last 4 elections.
McCain is not challenging Obama in any of the States of the 248 electoral votes that Democrats won in last 4 elections.
Various news organizations maintain electoral vote counts that are periodically reassessed and updated. Each organization has its own formula for deciding which candidate will receive a State's electoral votes. The chart below summarizes a number of those reports as of October 17, 2008: (WW has taken the liberty of lumping together firm and leaning counts to the extent those categories are used by a given organization.)
| Obama | Toss-UP | McCain | |
| CNN | 277 | 87 | 174 |
| 538.com | 382 | -- | 156 |
| MSNBC | 264 | 111 | 163 |
| NYTimes | 277 | 76 | 185 |
| Pollster.com | 312 | 70 | 255 |
| RCP | 286 | 94 | 158 |
| USA Today | 248 | 155 | 135 |
